The Secret of True Influence: How to Climb the Social Ladder
(Posted on Saturday, January 10, 2026)
Key points
- A recent study followed a class of college freshmen to see how friendships and influence change over time.
- Early on, knowing who belongs to which group matters more than knowing every specific friendship.
- Later, once things settled, detailed knowledge of who is close to whom helps maintain that influence.
When people talk about popularity, they often think of something loud and visible. The star of the party. The person who knows everyone by name. Yet real social power often grows more modestly. It comes from understanding how people fit together, how groups form, and where the bridges between those groups lie.
A recent study of first-year college students followed a social network growing in real time. Who became friends with whom, which students rose to positions of influence, and what those students actually knew about their social world were all measured over the course of the fall and spring semesters.
The students who climbed the social ladder were not simply more outgoing or more popular at the start. They were better at seeing the underlying shape of the network. They noticed where the cliques were, which people clustered together, and how the wider web of relationships was divided into communities. In other words, they understood the social map before anyone else.
Seeing the Map of Friendship
The study followed nearly two hundred freshmen in the same housing communities over the course of an academic year. Several times a semester, the students filled out surveys about their friendships. These reports allowed the researchers to build a living map of the network: who was connected to whom, which friendships were mutual, and how these ties changed over time.
The network was chaotic at the beginning. In the fall, friendships formed and dissolved quickly. Only later, around the spring semester, did the pattern of relationships settle into something more stable.
During the first months, the list of influential students changed dramatically. Many of the people who seemed powerful in the fall had lost that standing by spring. Yet the students with the most friends usually stayed near the top in friend count.
The Broad Social Network
Alongside the friendship surveys, the researchers tested what each student believed about the broader social network. The task was simple on the surface. Students saw pairs of classmates and answered a question: Are these two people friends or not?
Behind this judgment sit two different kinds of knowledge. One is detailed knowledge of specific relationships. This is the micro view: knowing that Alex and Jordan are close, or that Maya and Sam do not really talk.
The other is a more abstract sense of group structure. This is the meso view: understanding that a cluster of students usually eat together, that another group seems to revolve around a sports team, or that two circles only rarely mix. In this view, you may not know exactly who is close to whom, but you know which people belong to the same general crowd.
When the researchers analyzed the data, they looked at how much each student seemed to rely on these two layers of structure. Did their guesses about friendships track the actual one-to-one relationships? Or did they lean more on the deeper pattern of which people shared a community?
During the fall, one kind of knowledge mattered above all: the big picture. Students who had a good sense of the network’s communities early in the year were the ones who later became more influential. This pattern held even when accounting for how many friends they had and how extraverted they were. In contrast, having very accurate knowledge of specific friendships in the fall did not strongly predict who would climb in influence. Knowing the details without grasping the structure was not enough.
Once the network stabilized in the spring, students who were already influential tended to show more precise knowledge of individual friendships. Their mental map had become fine-grained. They knew not just which people belonged to the same circle, but which specific ties held those circles together. The students at the top by the end of the year were those who had both ingredients: early insight into the communities, and later, a detailed understanding of who was connected to whom.
Why Structure Matters
Why would seeing the social world in this way help someone rise in influence?
One reason is efficiency. In a large and shifting network, it is nearly impossible to track every single relationship. The number of possible pairs grows much faster than any mind can comfortably store. Keeping a perfect catalog of who is friends with whom would be exhausting.
A sense of different communities is easier to carry. If you know that certain people belong to one group and others belong to another, you can make useful guesses. You can predict who is likely to know whom, where information will spread quickly, or which introductions might be fruitful. You can also identify gaps, places where you might serve as a bridge between groups.
This big-picture knowledge is also flexible. When a network is still forming, specific friendships come and go. Communities, however, can remain relatively stable as clusters of people who share habits, interests, or space. If you see those clusters early, you can position yourself at their edges or their intersections, where influence tends to accumulate.
The study suggests that social cognition adapts to these phases. People who rise in influence are not simply more social. They are better at building useful mental models for the kind of network they are in at each stage.
How We Learn to Belong
Although the study looks at one group of college students, its insights resonate with many settings: a new workplace, a neighborhood, a sports team, even an online community.
When you join a new environment, you may not notice yourself doing it, but you likely start by scanning for patterns. Who eats together? Who seems to lead the conversation? Which faces appear in the same places again and again? This is meso-level thinking, a form of map-making.
Later, once you know the terrain, your attention shifts. You start to pick up on closer ties and subtle tensions. You notice who is drifting apart, who is growing closer, and where your own relationships sit on the web. This is micro-level thinking, the craft of handling specific connections with care.
The study invites a reconsideration of what we mean when we talk about social intelligence. It is not only charm or extraversion. It is also the ability to compress a complex social world into a workable mental map, then refine that map over time.
Finally, the findings challenge a common saying. It is often claimed that success in social life is not about what you know, but who you know. Who you know matters, of course, but what you understand about how people are connected may matter just as much.
References
Aslarus, I. C., Son, J. Y., Xia, A., & FeldmanHall, O. (2025). Early insight into social network structure predicts climbing the social ladder. Science Advances, 11(25), eads2133.

