When a friend asked me if this was the big one two weeks ago, I was not sure.
Today I can answer: Yes. This is a big one in terms of lives that will be affected and lost, and economies destroyed.
But… It is a big one, not as a consequence of an intrinsic property of the virus, but entirely the result of human action and inaction.
The course of the epidemic in China shows that the epidemic can be controlled without an effective vaccine or antiviral drug. Rigorous people to people contact control can halt the spread of infection.
Originally published on Forbes (March 31, 2020)